Currency News – Why Most Traders Can’t Make Profits With it

Monica Hendrix asked:

It’s a fact that most traders who try and trade using online currency news end up losing because they don’t understand how the market works and fail to understand how news is discounted. If you don’t want to join the 95% of losing traders, then you need to understand how to use currency news correctly.

Let’s start with a rather interesting fact:

Today the currency news we get is of a higher quality than 50 years ago, it is delivered faster with the click of a mouse yet, the ratio of winners to losers is still the same as it was 50 years ago which means:

These advances in quality of news and speed of delivery, have not helped improve the success rate.

The reason for this of course is – the news is discounted in a split second and you simply can’t act quickly enough. Furthermore, currency news reflects what the majority think and on most occasions, the majority lose.

It’s a fact that – markets collapse when their most bullish and rally when their most bearish.

Will Rodgers once said:

“I only believe what I read in the papers”

He was joking, but it amazes me how many traders see a story in the financial times or Wall Street Journal and try and trade it and then wonder why they lose.

Currency news is a story and it reflects in most instances what the vast majority believe and is out of date as soon as you see it. Try and trade it and you will have your emotions involved which can lead to a breakdown in discipline.

If you consider the fundamentals are discounted immediately by the market the most effective way to trade is to use forex technical analysis and study forex charts.

Technical analysis simply assumes that all known fundamentals will show up in price action so you don’t need to worry about the news. Furthermore, forex charts give you something more – they tell you how investors perceive the fundamentals and take into account human psychology.

After all it is not the currency news itself that is important, its how each and every investor reads and acts on the news. We all have the same news to read but we will all draw different conclusions. It is this mass of millions of traders, who ultimately determine the price.

By using forex charts you are simply studying the reality – price as it is and acting on it, with no need to guess or assume what the impact of currency news will be.

Forex chartists don’t care how or why markets move, they simply follow price action and try and make money when they do.

There’s a saying:

If you can hold your head when everyone around you is losing theirs you probably haven’t heard the news”

In forex trading, it’s the disciplined trader who wins and he generally stays cool, calm and collected, while other traders lose their discipline and fall prey to the emotions of greed and fear.

If you want to make money at forex trading forget currency news, keep your discipline and react to the reality of price change and you can make big profits over the longer term.

Forex News – Trading it for Bigger Profits

Kelly Price asked:

Today, we have more news than ever and its delivered in the click of a mouse and many traders want to trade it and make profits – after all it’s the fundamental supply and demand situation that drives forex prices…

No it isn’t!

Supply and demand fundamentals are not important by themselves – it’s how they are perceived that determines price.

Here is a simple equation for market movement to illustrate the above:

Supply and Demand (facts and news) + Investor Perception = Price

From the above you can see that it is investors who determine price.

We all have the same facts to look at but we don’t all draw the same conclusions from what we see and this is the problem when trading news stories.

If you could win by trading the news, with today’s quality of it and lightening communications, the percentage of traders who would win would be far greater but the fact is:

The same amount of people who lost in forex trading 50 years ago lose today and this statistic won’t change because you can’t trade news stories in isolation.

The problems with trading news stories are greater today than they have ever been.

Why?

Because we all get the information quickly and it’s instantly discounted by the market, we all have the information at the same time in any corner of the globe online and no one has an advantage of getting it first before the herd.

The problem that is always present and has been since markets started trading is:

You don’t know how the traders are going to view the news because their all driven by their individual motivations and emotions furthermore, the news always reflects the views of the crowd and the crowd is always wrong.

Will Rogers once said:

“I only believe what I read in the papers”

He was joking of course, but it’s surprising how many people read a paper or see a view on CNBC and think they can trade it and win – they can’t.

FACT:

Markets collapse and turn when they are most bullish and rally when they are most bearish – this is nothing to do with the facts but how the investors perceive them.

News stories can be used but it’s not in the way you may think.

If a bullish piece of news fails to push market higher, or bearish news fails to push a market lower, then you may have a trend change at hand.

You need to check and to do this, look at a forex chart and see the technical view of price only. Here you are seeing the reality or the truth in black and white.

This gives you a detached non emotional view of price and you can decide which way to trade. Using the news in this contrary fashion is a great way to spot situations which you can time entry with your technical indicators.

There is an old saying:

” If you can hold your head, when everyone around you is losing theirs you probably haven’t heard the news”

In the above instance you have – but you’re not taking the view of the majority.

If you use news in the above way and combine it with forex charts to time your trading signal, then you have a powerful combination for bigger forex profits.

X Games ride-along with Subaru's Travis Pastrana | Straightline …

Riding along with Subaru Rally Team USA factory driver and freestyle motocross champion Travis Pastrana, it’s easy to appreciate the amount of effort it takes to pilot his Impreza WRX STI around the tarmac portion of the 2009 X…

Read the original:
X Games ride-along with Subaru's Travis Pastrana | Straightline …